| Published forecast | 2026 US RevPAR growth | 2027 US RevPAR growth | Vintage |
|---|---|---|---|
| CoStar / Tourism Economics | 4.4% | 2.1% | August 6, 2026 assumptions |
| CBRE | 2.5% | 2.1% | Midyear 2026 outlook |
Sources: the respective published forecasts. These are projections, not realized full-year results. (costar.com)
CoStar identifies comparisons against the 2026 World Cup and semiquincentennial period as a restraint on 2027 rate growth. CBRE emphasizes stronger business and convention demand in its midyear assessment. The different 2026 forecasts should remain visible rather than be blended into a synthetic consensus. (costar.com)
Desk implication: Build an event-normalized trading history. For each exceptional period, identify room nights, achieved rates, displacement of ordinary business and associated operating costs. A growth-rate forecast cannot resolve those property-level questions.